Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 10.150427 11.472844 12.994646 14.897450 17.244971 20.090485 23.871672
2024-12-15 8.158031 9.818537 11.927491 14.886517 19.081332 25.081221 34.891560
2024-12-22 7.009480 8.765331 11.137713 14.731837 20.359266 29.518824 47.491219
2024-12-29 6.436665 8.309960 10.977948 15.305686 22.746816 36.560231 69.942288
2025-01-05 5.722478 7.531596 10.192824 14.700888 22.949462 39.758256 87.666597
2025-01-12 5.134214 6.854870 9.448246 13.990449 22.722773 41.958906 105.739784
2025-01-19 4.705556 6.364950 8.922406 13.543773 22.861294 45.060997 132.062232
2025-01-26 4.425384 6.069551 8.664966 13.518066 23.842170 50.834660 182.892737
2025-02-02 4.396868 6.158101 9.042020 14.731942 27.946086 68.629518 389.520619
2025-02-09 4.288095 6.104286 9.165160 15.472608 31.253440 87.811272 906.430592
2025-02-16 4.092916 5.889236 8.975223 15.525209 32.796406 102.289439 2057.297168
2025-02-23 3.984319 5.808773 9.018254 16.089004 36.056166 130.683018 16002.416766
2025-03-02 3.739919 5.497972 8.637750 15.724450 36.679206 148.562739 NaN
2025-03-09 3.547812 5.267516 8.395059 15.665737 38.444777 181.531507 NaN
2025-03-16 3.365367 5.038427 8.128232 15.495954 39.794889 218.587267 NaN
2025-03-23 3.278042 4.970626 8.171416 16.114753 44.605166 325.961982 NaN
2025-03-30 3.083704 4.693696 7.759965 15.462391 43.825760 354.505742 NaN
2025-04-06 2.896688 4.418969 7.330445 14.697353 42.261324 364.747148 NaN
2025-04-13 2.749797 4.209841 7.021029 14.217059 41.843751 403.320920 NaN
2025-04-20 2.652751 4.087189 6.882437 14.189435 43.610810 527.110988 NaN
2025-04-27 2.664928 4.169147 7.186858 15.495862 53.360881 1412.226872 NaN
2025-05-04 2.634085 4.166498 7.306573 16.294957 61.507257 4540.433503 NaN
2025-05-11 2.555811 4.066476 7.197380 16.351762 65.072181 13041.571890 NaN